***Disclaimer- these picks are for fun and to see how bad I do. If you wager - only bet what you can afford to lose. Always assume you’re going to lose. Never risk the mortgage, rent, or your kid’s college education. There is NO such thing as a sure thing- especially with my lousy picks. If you risk more than you can afford and lose- that’s on you. I told you so! In the Supercontest - you must pick 5 games each week- whether you like them or not. I may not like some games but I still have to pick 5 so keep that in mind. Their rules not mine.

The 2018 winner beat out 3,122 other participants. Typically it takes around a 65% winning pct to have a shot at winning it all. In 2018 the winner went 70% against the spread- just unbelievable! Anyway I just want to do this for fun and see how it goes.

Week 7 Results 4-1

Pat Mahomes finally succumbed to the body blows he’s been taking and his knee gave on a QB sneak. It didn’t matter against Denver though. Matt Moore relieved him and the Chiefs gave the Broncos an old fashioned beat down. Under the definition of holding penalty in the NFL rule book there should be a picture of Denver offensive lineman Garrett Bolles. His pass blocking has been awful this year. It’s another in a long line of blown picks by GM John Elway who, despite being a Hall of Fame QB, has to be feeling the heat. He’s just had too many misses in both the draft and free agency. Aaron Rodgers showed the critics he’s still far from being through. The Pack crushed the Raiders at home. The Vikes went into Motown and lit up the Lions defense like a pinball machine. Kirk Cousins is gaining confidence and the Lions defense finally showed some cracks- especially after suffering some injuries. After a slow start Jacksonville (minus recently traded all-pro cornerback Jalen Ramsey) came back and won it going away in the 2nd half against a hapless Bengals team. Only the Houston Texans failed me on the road in Indianapolis. Their secondary was picked apart by Indy QB Jacoby Brissett which like a major Achilles heel for them moving forward. I didn’t really have a strong feeling about Houston, but you have to pick five games in the Supercontest regardless. I’ll take 4-1 every time. It feels good to be back on track. Let’s hope the hot streak continues. On to week 8.

Season Results 20-14-1

Week 8 and I don’t feel strong about most of these which is usaully a bad sign- you were warned! Well when all else fails take the Patriots. They’re like 60 % vs the spread in the Brady/Belichick era. That said they could easily not cover this- it’s a big line vs a talented Browns team. Cleveland’s offensive line is a concern and that’s where this game will be decided. The one game I do like is the Packers. Aaron Rodgers is 100 times better than Matt Moore and the Chiefs last opponent Joe Flacco. Give me Green Bay on the road. Philly- eh-I don’t know. On one hand- they’re pretty banged up. On the other- this is a big game for them though. They need a win. I’m hoping Wentz & Co can gut one out on the road. Fletcher Cox needs to have a big game on defense. They’re dogs so if they win so do I. Indy takes on the hapless Broncos at home. I’m hoping their run game dominates along with a boost from explosive rookie WR Parris Campbell who is set to return. In the process I’ll bet against Broncos offensive linemen Garrett Bolles too. He never saw a holding penalty he didn’t like. Finally, I’ll lay the wood with the Rams. I hate when ex-coaches play their former teams (Note Cincy head coach Zac Taylor was an assistant under Sean McVay so he knows the Rams inside and out). However, all-pro DB Jalen Ramsey has pumped life into a Rams team trying for a playoff push. Aaron Donald could have a big day vs a weak Bengals offensive line. As with many of my picks- the Rams should win, but will they cover? That’s the million dollar question. We’ll see.

*Note- picks subject to change prior to game time.

New England (-13) vs Clev

Green Bay (-4) at Kansas City

Philadelphia (+1.5) at Buffalo

Indy (-5.5) vs Denver

LA Rams (-13) vs Cincy