***Disclaimer- these picks are for fun and to see how bad I do. If you wager - only bet what you can afford to lose. Always assume you’re going to lose. Never risk the mortgage, rent, or your kid’s college education. There is NO such thing as a sure thing- especially with my lousy picks. If you risk more than you can afford and lose- that’s on you. I told you so! In the Supercontest - you must pick 5 games each week- whether you like them or not. I may not like some games but I still have to pick 5 so keep that in mind. Their rules not mine.

The 2018 winner beat out 3,122 other participants. Typically it takes around a 65% winning pct to have a shot at winning it all. In 2018 the winner went 70% against the spread- just unbelievable! Anyway I just want to do this for fun and see how it goes.

Week 10 Results 2-3

What a crazy week! The Chiefs had a great shot to cover, but fell apart the final few minutes. The Rams offense never showed up and the Steelers beat the defending NFC champs with a backup QB. The Rams offensive line is really a train wreck and Jared Goff needs a clean pocket to thrive. In the Lone Star State Dallas made some questionable coaching decisions in a stunning loss (to me anyway) at home to the Vikings. Dalvin Cook ran all over them. The Vikes won despite being without WR Adam Thielan. Green Bay covered by the slimmest of margins- stopping Christian McCaffrey at the one foot line. Finally, my last minute change (going to the Bears and off of the Saints) saved me from an even worse week. Chicago came back after a slow start to beat the Staffordless Lions. The Saints were shocked at home by the lowly Falcons. 2-3 won’t get it done, but things could have been a lot worse. Had I stuck with the Saints and McCaffrey gained one more yard I could have been looking for an 0-for- ugh! At least I added two more wins to the total. On to week 11!

Season Results 28-21-1 57% winning pct 28.5 pts

Week 11 arrives and my first instinct is the card doesn’t look great this week. Let’s start off with Dallas. I like the Cowboys provided Matthew Stafford sits again. If he plays, laying 6.5 points is too much for me to give on the road and I’ll probably change it. Keep an eye on his health as the week progresses…...Minnesota hosts Denver. Their defense should have a field day with the Broncos offensive line. In addition, crowd noise in the dome could make hearing difficult, hampering getting off the snap in time….. Elsewhere, I’ll take the Chiefs (3.5) vs the Chargers who play at a neutral site in Mexico City. I expect Kansas City’s offensive line will be healthier. QB Pat Mahomes should carve up LA’s secondary…… The Raiders host a hapless Bengals team. They should win, the only concern is can they cover? Laying 10.5 points is a lot, but they do get to go against a backup QB and a shaky offensive line. Cincinnati is also in the running for the first pick of next year’s draft. It’s just something to remember…… Finally, give me New England on the road vs Philadelphia. The Eagles defensive line is a problem, but their secondary can be had. I expect a lot of quick passes to Julian Edelman, James White, and Mo Sanu. Having a bye last week should help the Patriots come into this one healthy and hungry to redeem themselves.

*Note- picks subject to change prior to game time.

Dallas (-6.5) at Detroit

Minnesota (-10.5) vs Denver

Oakland (-10.5) vs Cincinnati

New England (-3.5) at Philadelphia

Kansas City (-3.5) vs LA Chargers in Mexico City