2019 Tennessee Titans Fantasy Analysis

2019 Tennessee Titans

Head Coach- Mike Vrabel

Offensive Coaching Philosophy- Balanced

What to Expect- Offensive Coordinator Matt LaFleur left for Green Bay to be the head coach of Aaron Rodgers (hard to blame him) and the Titans stayed in house and promoted Arthur Smith.  Smith said he’ll stick with the same offense in order to make it easier for Marcus Mariota to develop.

 

Quarterback- This is a make or break year for Marcus Mariota.  That 2015 QB class of Jameis Winston followed by Mariota isn’t looking too good right now.  Mariota added muscle in the offseason to try and combat the injuries.  He’s been getting hit a lot and they took a toll on the young QB in 2018.  He’s currently the #27 ranked QB at Fantasy Pros.  I can’t say I blame them. The Colts and Jaguars defenses should be better this year and it’s not like this Titans offense was a juggernaut to start with.  The team signed former Miami QB Ryan Tannehill to be the backup. 

 

Running Back- It’s a two man crew- thunder and lightning.  Derrick Henry is the thunder and Lewis is the lightning.  The guy to own here is Henry, but he’s strictly a power runner.  He has less value in ppr leagues,  A good day for him is anything over 100 yards and a TD or two.  Lewis has a smaller build. He’s not meant to be a workhorse back- he’ll wear down.  He gets catches, but this offense isn’t potent like his former team- the Patriots. At the end of the day when it’s time to total your team’s fantasy score- touchdowns still matter. 

 

Wide Receiver/Tight Ends- Former 1st round pick Corey Davis is their top WR but he hasn’t panned out like Tennessee had hoped when they selected him early in the 1st round.  He’s not fast enough to run by defenders. The Titans signed  Adam Humphries from Tampa Bay to be a slot WR.  Taywan Taylor and Tajae Sharpe are also in the mix. In the draft Tennessee took WR AJ Brown.  TE Delanie Walker is getting up there at 34. No one here is the star the Titans desperately need to help Mariota reach his potential.

 

Offensive Line- OK-  They’re better at run blocking than pass blocking.  Conklin is a mauler, but he was hurt to start the year last year.  The Titans aren’t impressed with their former 1st round pick as they didn’t pick up his 5th year option.  Tennessee is best when it can keep the game close and play smashmouth football with Henry.  Then off of that they can use play action.  Unfortunately that’s not always possible,  If they fall behind, which is possible against rivals such as the Colts and Texans potent offenses,  their forced to pass which means it’s time for opposing defensive linemen to tee off on Mariota

Schedule- OK not great.  The Titans have some great draws with Tampa and Atlanta, but Cleveland, Jacksonville, & Denver could pose serious problems to their pass protection.

Bye- Week 11

Playoff Schedule- weeks 14-17 Tough @Oakland, vs Houston, vs New Orleans, @ Houston.  Oakland is the only good matchup.  Facing JJ Watt and JaDeveon Clowney can be challenging.  The Saints defense is underrated.

 

Sleeper- none

Undervalued- none

Overvalued- Derrick Henry (#20th ranked RB at Fantasy Pros)

Bust- Corey Davis (#23rd ranked WR at Fantasy Pros.yet Mariota is the #27 ranked QB by the same rankers?)  How exactly is Davis going to get those catches and TDs to warrant a mid-round pick if Mariota has a lousy like many of the rankers are predicting?  There’s a disconnect there. I don’t see it.

 

Bottom Line-This team has no speed. Where is the speed to take the top off the defense? Defenses should be able to stack the box to stop Henry. All of their skill guys are just okay- no stars.  The Titans need Corey Davis to be a #1 WR but he’s a #2. AJ Brown, Adam Humphries are okay players but not gamebreakers.  The book is still out on Mariota.  Right now it’s hard to envision him having a great year.  How many weeks did he throw over 300 yards with a few tds?   And he gets banged up to boot.  The only guy that has shown glimpses is Derrick Henry, but he’s going way too high in drafts for me.  He doesn’t catch passes which limits his upside.  Plus, if the Titans fall behind they’ll have to abandon run and be forced to pass- not exactly their specialty.